131107142831-02-typhoon-1107-story-topOffshore Weather Services Pty Ltd forecasts that the expected number of tropical cyclones over the NW Pacific region in the 2017 season is 26, which is slightly above the long term (1970-2015) average. These are expected to be of above average intensity with Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) 130% of normal.

In the South China Sea, about 8 tropical cyclones are expected to affect the region, which is close to average. These systems also expected to be close to average intensity when compared to the long term average.

 

For more details of the 2017 Northwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook, please click the link below:

 

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Offshore Weather Services would like to congratulate the Shanghai Salvage Company on the successful lifting of the ferry Sewol from the seabed off southwestern South Korea on March 23, 2017. The ferry capsized on 16 April 2014 en route from Incheon to Jeju in South Korea while carrying 476 passengers.

In a very complex and lengthy salvage operation made more difficult by the cold waters, strong ocean currents and adverse weather conditions the vessel was finally brought to the ocean’s surface suspended between two large barges supported by wires running through 66 hydraulic jacks. It was imperative that the Sewol be brought to the surface without further damage and this was successfully achieved.

The stricken vessel will now be transported to Mokpo in South Korea where a search will be made for missing bodies and the cause of this tragic accident.

Offshore Weather Services are proud to have provided the weather forecast service to Shanghai Salvage for the entire salvage operation.

More links about raising of MV Sewol ferry:

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/2017/03/22/asia/south-korea-sewol-ferry/

Herald Sun: http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/breaking-news/sunken-skorean-ferry-raised-from-ocean/news-story/2f5bb4768d76c4dcc1acd9b59c282610

 

 

The latest ENSO Wrap-up issued by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), Australia on 14 February 2017 indicates that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral with virtually all indicators close to their average values.

Either neutral or El Niño are considered the most likely ENSO state for the southern winter and spring. Model outlooks indicate a neutral IOD is likely through late autumn and early winter.

Please refer to link for more details: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

 

Aila Aguilar, OWS Business Development Manager for Southeast Asia, attended the 21st International Oil & Gas Industry Exhibition & Conference (OSEA2016) held at the Marina Bay Sands, Singapore on 29 November – 02 December 2016.

OSEA has been established for over 40 years and has grown to support the industry’s needs particularly in the Southeast Asian region. With the challenging market conditions, this year’s event focused on solutions that can enhance production processes and improve cost efficiency.  Ideas have been presented with regard to the future direction for the industry.

Over 1,000 exhibitors from 48 countries/regions have participated showing the latest range of equipment, innovations and services for levelling up capabilities and productivity. Panel discussion was attended by country representatives from Norway, Netherlands, Singapore and Mr David Campbell, Minister (Commercial) & Senior Trade Investment Commissioner for Australia.

Neutral to weak La Nina conditions are expected to persist through the 2016/2017 Australian tropical cyclone season. These conditions should result in a near to slightly above average frequency of Tropical Cyclones over the Australian Region, with about 8- 12 expected and 1-7 becoming Severe Tropical Cyclones.

For more detailed outlook for the different regions in Australia i.e. Northwest Shelf and Timor Sea, Arafura Sea and West Gulf of Carpentaria, and the Coral Sea, please download the full report below.

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In line with Offshore Weather Services’ objective to be ahead in marine weather forecasting skills and technology, Dr Simon Caine, OWS IT and Numerical Modelling Specialist attended the WRF data assimilation tutorial in Boulder Colorado last August 1-3, 2016.

Simon attended a number of lectures and practical workshop sessions on data assimilation in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. He also visited the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in Washington DC where he worked with NOAA specialists on applying the “genetic optimization package for the Generalized Multiple DIA” to the Wavewatch III model.

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131107142831-02-typhoon-1107-story-topThe expected number of tropical cyclones over the NW Pacific region in the 2016 season is 17, which is below normal. These are expected to be of about normal intensity.

About 8 tropical cyclones are expected to affect the South China Sea, which is well below the climate average. These systems are, however, expected to be above average intensity compared to the climate average.

For more information, download the 2016 NW Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook.

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131107142831-02-typhoon-1107-story-topThe current atmospheric and oceanic indicators and global climate models indicate strong El Niño conditions are expected to continue over the NW Pacific for the remainder of the 2015 tropical cyclone season.

Based on the current atmospheric dynamics and the analogue years selected, the expected number of tropical cyclones over the NW Pacific region in the 2015 season is 23, which is close to normal. From the outlook of 23 TC formations, 17 have already occurred. The intensity are expected to be well above normal.

About 9 tropical cyclones are expected to affect the South China Sea, which is below climate average. These systems are expected to be slightly above average intensity compared to the climate average.

For more information, download the 2015 NW Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season Outlook.

Request the detailed outlook here

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On the 03rd July 2015 OWS became the first commercial weather forecasting company in the Australian / Asian region to directly receive and process the new Himarawi-8 weather satellite transmissions. The  JMA Himarawi-8 satellite will eventually replace the MtSat satellite that has been providing global satellite imagery for over a decade. The new H-8 satellite produces global images every 10 min in 16 frequency bands. This a great improvement on the 1 hour global images and 5 frequency channels produced by the MtSat  satellite and will mean even greater accuracy in weather analysis, squall and tropical cyclone forecasting from the OWS forecasting team.